A next-watch closed-loop packet outside the current public six

This learning page is generated for GitHub Wiki. The public portal is managed on mind-upload.com.

• Updated: 2026-04-04 / Role: U8-1 route packet (updated with phase-targeting estimability sync)

This page records one narrow next-watch route outside the current public six at the level of one question, one public-open closed-loop anchor, one bounded first artifact, and one funding bridge.

This page does not change the active public six-question batch. It only records what the present U8-1 closed-loop route can honestly close first.

• Issue page
• Data & Bench

• Wiki: Current public six route brief - The compact six-row public route that still stays unchanged.
• Wiki: Closed loop, delay, jitter, safe stop - The timing, safety-stop, and co-adaptation page that now makes this row readable more narrowly.
• Wiki: Deep focus notes - The wider working note for all current practical rows.
• Wiki: Grant and dataset playbook - The fixed funding and anchor map.

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This page does not change the current public six-question batch. It records one narrow route just outside that batch, so readers can see why U8-1 is the next bounded closed-loop route to deepen, why D20 stays the cleanest public-open first anchor for that row, and what the first public-safe artifact can honestly close.

• D20 Closed-loop auditory stimulation targeting REM oscillations still remains the cleanest public-open first anchor for U8-1, because it is already a real REM phase-targeting family with explicit estimability, targeting, and stop-intervention failure modes rather than a generic offline benchmark.
• D21 NeuroSimo: closed-loop EEG/EMG-guided TMS remains the strongest support family once the row needs an explicit trigger / stop / recovery cross-check in a second intervention setting.
• D12 Longitudinal MI-BCI training with transcutaneous spinal stimulation remains a useful support family for durability and retraining burden, but it still fits U8-6 more directly than the first U8-1 packet.
• The refreshed closed-loop latency / jitter / safe stop page now keeps timing, phase-targeting estimability, co-adaptation, rescue-mode recalibration, and body/environment incompleteness separate, which makes U8-1 readable as a bounded operations packet rather than as a universal latency claim.
• The current public six-question batch still stays unchanged: U13-2 / U13-5 / U0-2 / U0-3 / U14-4 / U14-2.
• The practical funding bridge for this row is still watch-only rather than a current public-six route: Japan Industrial Science Research Institute research grant and Nakatani Foundation research grant remain the cleanest fits, and existing Todoist watch tasks already cover both lanes.

• It is a B row: the useful first claim is still real, but it must stay explicitly bounded and must keep external dependencies visible.
• It is control-and-safety-first: the first artifact is a closed-loop safety KPI dashboard, not a claim that one timing number already solves closed-loop stability.
• It extends the outside-current-six route without widening the public claim surface. U7-1 fixes synchronization discipline, U1-2 fixes inverse-estimation uncertainty, U4-2 fixes a narrow intervention rule, and U8-1 fixes the delay-tolerance and safety-stop boundary for one named loop family.

Candidate	What it helps with	Why it is not the first public anchor
D20 Closed-loop auditory stimulation targeting REM oscillations (10.5281/zenodo.10663994, immediate)	It is already a named REM phase-targeting family, so it is the shortest route to a bounded stability rate / stop-intervention rate / recovery time dashboard plus a disclosed phase-targeting log instead of a generic timing story.	None in this run. It is the cleanest public-open first anchor for U8-1.
D21 NeuroSimo: closed-loop EEG/EMG-guided TMS (10.5281/zenodo.14398633, immediate)	It is the strongest nearby support family when the row needs an explicit trigger / intervention / recovery cross-check in a second closed-loop setting.	It is more protocol-specific and intervention-heavy than the first delay-tolerance packet needs.
D12 Longitudinal MI-BCI training with transcutaneous spinal stimulation (10.5281/zenodo.15454354, immediate)	It is useful once the row has to connect delay tolerance to fixed-decoder durability and retraining burden.	It fits U8-6 more directly than the first U8-1 packet, so it stays support rather than primary.

Why D20 cannot stay a delay-only anchor

`D20` is not merely a generic fast-loop dataset. The linked REM paper, Jaramillo et al. (2024), delivered auditory stimulation phase-locked to alpha or theta oscillations during REM sleep and reported phase-dependent power and frequency changes. That makes the route scientifically narrower and stricter than a generic latency packet. Zrenner et al. (2020) showed that meaningful real-time phase estimation itself degrades when oscillatory amplitude and SNR are low. Gordon et al. (2021) showed that prefrontal theta-triggered stimulation needed additional constraints to avoid low-amplitude and phase-reset epochs. Vigué-Guix et al. (2022) showed that reliable trial-to-trial alpha phase locking still did not yield a consistent behavioral gain. Kim et al. (2023) showed across public datasets that prediction quality improves primarily with higher power and SNR and with waiting for eligible epochs. Hougland et al. (2025) then showed within-session fluctuation and low test-retest reliability of the optimal mu-phase. Therefore, the first public-safe artifact for `U8-1` cannot remain a delay-only dashboard. It also needs a phase-targeting log that keeps estimability, targeting accuracy, downstream effect, and phase-stability separate.

Phase-targeting field	What the packet now has to say explicitly	What goes wrong if omitted
Oscillation gate	Which band, channel / spatial filter, power / SNR threshold, phase-reset rejection, and no-stim or missed-trigger rate defined an eligible REM epoch.	A fast trigger is overread as if the target oscillation had actually been estimable throughout the session.
Targeting metric	Which circular phase-error metric, off-target comparator, and causal-versus-post-hoc benchmark were used under the disclosed REM protocol.	Low mean latency is mistaken for correct phase targeting.
Downstream effect	Which outcome changed: power, frequency, physiology, behavior, or none, and on what time window.	Targeting success is silently promoted to physiological or behavioral efficacy.
Stability policy	Whether the preferred phase stayed fixed, drifted, or was updated within or across sessions, and how abstention was handled when the target weakened.	One locally useful phase is overread as a stable controller across the whole route.

Artifact piece	What it closes now	What still stays outside the claim
Closed-loop safety KPI dashboard	A bounded dashboard that fixes stability rate, stop-intervention rate, recovery time, and declared end-to-end timing percentiles for one named loop family under one disclosed protocol.	Any statement that one dashboard already gives a universal closed-loop threshold across loop types.
Phase-targeting log	A bounded log that fixes oscillation gate, no-stim / missed-trigger rate, circular phase error, off-target comparator, and effect readout for the present REM targeting protocol.	Any statement that a fast loop or a low average phase error already proves reliable phase-specific control or stable downstream benefit.
Delay-tolerance band note	A narrow rule for which timing deterioration begins to break the present loop class under the present protocol, oscillation gate, and stop logic.	Any statement that a single ms threshold generalizes across neurofeedback, P300 control, speech BCI, phase-targeting, and chronic adaptive stimulation.
Downgrade-rule note	A public-safe rule that keeps the row at a local-controller result whenever stability drops below the predeclared floor or recovery time drifts beyond the operating band.	Any interpretation that a fast or stable local loop is automatically boundary-complete, fixed-decoder durable, chronically deployable, or identity-relevant.

Route	Submission wording that stays honest	Why it still fits this row
Japan Industrial Science Research Institute research grant (watch)	Operational delay-tolerance and safety-stop dashboard for closed-loop EEG control in the mind-upload route	The row reads naturally as an engineering-style operations and safety package rather than as a stronger neuroscience or mind-preservation claim.
Nakatani Foundation research grant (next-cycle watch)	Control-theoretic delay-tolerance benchmark for closed-loop EEG safety and retraining boundaries	It still fits as a bounded BME-facing validation package, but only as a watch route because the current cycle is closed.

• Generalization across loop classes still remains outside the present packet.
• Phase-targeting estimability, downstream effect, and preferred-phase stability still remain separate evidence objects even inside the current REM family.
• Fixed-decoder durability, rescue-mode recalibration burden, and clinic/home transfer still remain separate evidence objects rather than completed claims of this row.
• Any interpretation that one closed-loop timing result proves a boundary-complete controller, a stable preserved self, or a deployable WBE loop remains outside the present route.

• The public batch did not change.
• The main change is that U8-1 now has a public packet that records the cleanest public-open anchor, the first safety artifact, and the watch-level funding bridge after the closed-loop timing page was strengthened.
• This remains a route-setting update, not a solved-claim update.