Wiki: U4-2 minimal-causal route packet

A next-watch causal packet outside the current public six

This learning page is generated for GitHub Wiki. The public portal is managed on mind-upload.com.

• Updated: 2026-03-31 / Role: U4-2 route packet

Role Of This Page

This page records one narrow next-watch route outside the current public six at the level of one question, one intervention anchor family, one bounded first artifact, and one funding bridge.

Accuracy Notes

This page does not change the active public six-question batch. It only records what the present U4-2 minimal-causal route can honestly close first.

Back To Public Pages

• Issue page
• Data & Bench

Related Wiki Pages

• Wiki: Current public six route brief - The compact six-row public route that still stays unchanged.
• Wiki: U1-2 uncertainty-calibration route packet - The inverse-estimation packet that now sits directly before this route.
• Wiki: Deep focus notes - The wider working note for all current practical rows.
• Wiki: Grant and dataset playbook - The fixed funding and anchor map.

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U4-2 minimal-causal route packet

This page does not change the current public six-question batch. It records one narrow route just outside that batch, so readers can see why U4-2 is the next strongest causal-intervention route after U1-2, why D05 stays the narrowest first anchor for that row, and what the first public-safe artifact can honestly close.

What was rechecked for this row

• D05 EEG cortical responses after HiPi: High-speed robot-controlled pinprick stimulation still remains the narrowest immediate intervention floor for U4-2, because it keeps the row focused on a minimal intervention-versus-control claim instead of drifting into theory-ranking language.
• D08 Simultaneous human intracerebral stimulation and HD-EEG, ground-truth for source localization methods remains the strongest direct-validation support family once the first minimal-causal rule is fixed and the row needs a cleaner known-intervention-site cross-check.
• D19 CerebellarTMSEEGData remains a useful public-open perturbation support family for checking whether the same sign-stability rule survives a second intervention family with explicit control conditions.
• The current public six-question batch still stays unchanged: U13-2 / U13-5 / U0-2 / U0-3 / U14-4 / U14-2.
• The practical funding bridge for this row is still watch-only rather than a current public-six route: Brain Science Foundation research grant and Nakatani Foundation research grant remain the cleanest next-watch fits, and existing Todoist watch tasks already cover both lanes.

Why U4-2 is the next strongest causal route after U1-2

• It is an A row: the main claim can stay inside EEG-DATA without requiring theory victory, legal argument, or identity-overreading language.
• It is intervention-first: the first artifact is a minimal causal protocol plus a rebuttal boundary, not a stronger global causal-equivalence claim.
• It broadens the outside-current-six route without widening the public claim surface. U7-1 fixes synchronization discipline, U1-2 fixes inverse-estimation uncertainty, and U4-2 fixes the narrowest intervention-conditioned sign-agreement rule.

Why D05 stays the main anchor

Candidate	What it helps with	Why it is not the first anchor
D05 EEG cortical responses after HiPi: High-speed robot-controlled pinprick stimulation (10.21227/8snc-7h06, immediate)	It is the narrowest current pain-evoked intervention route in the catalog, which keeps U4-2 focused on intervention-versus-control difference, sign agreement, and a bounded rebuttal rule.	None in this run. It is the narrowest first anchor for U4-2.
D08 Simultaneous human intracerebral stimulation and HD-EEG, ground-truth for source localization methods (10.21227/7may-9q56, with public DOI handoff 10.25493/NXN2-05W)	It is the strongest support family once the row needs a known-intervention-site cross-check and a more explicit direct-validation floor.	It pulls the row toward inverse-estimation and source-validation language more than the first minimal-causal packet needs.
D19 CerebellarTMSEEGData (10.6084/m9.figshare.13082495, immediate)	It is useful for cross-checking the same sign-stability rule under a second perturbation family with explicit control conditions and published exclusion notes.	It is better as a perturbation-family support dataset than as the first narrow anchor for a minimal causal packet.

What the first artifact can honestly close now

Artifact piece	What it closes now	What still stays outside the claim
Intervention protocol and rebuttal condition definition	A bounded protocol that fixes the minimum causal claim to intervention-conditioned sign agreement rather than to a stronger causal-equivalence story.	Any statement that one intervention family already settles broader theory competition or full mechanism recovery.
Sign-agreement table	An explicit pass/fail table for intervention-versus-control difference, sign agreement, and counterfactual error under the same split and preprocessing policy.	Any blanket claim that intervention sensitivity already generalizes across modalities, cohorts, or theoretical formalisms.
Downgrade-rule note	A public-safe rule that forces the row down to exploration whenever sign reversals persist or the intervention-effect interval crosses zero.	Any interpretation that one stable sign-agreement rule proves preserved internal mechanism, preserved identity, or successful mind preservation.

Funding wording that still fits

Route	Submission wording that stays honest	Why it still fits this row
Brain Science Foundation research grant (watch)	Minimal causal-intervention benchmark for reproducible EEG verification in the mind-upload route	The row reads naturally as a conservative intervention-validation benchmark rather than as a stronger restoration claim.
Nakatani Foundation research grant (next-cycle watch)	Intervention-conditioned EEG sign-agreement benchmark with explicit rebuttal gates	It fits as a BME-facing validation package, but only as a watch route because the current cycle is closed.

External dependency tasks that stay outside this session

• Broader causal-graph identifiability and theory-ranking language still remain outside the present repository-level artifact.
• Population transfer of the same sign-agreement rule still remains outside the present packet.
• Any interpretation that one intervention family proves preserved mechanism, preserved identity, or full recoverability remains outside the present route.

What changed in this run

• The public batch did not change.
• The main change is that U4-2 now has a public packet that records the narrowest intervention anchor, the first artifact, and the watch-level funding bridge after U1-2.
• This remains a route-setting update, not a solved-claim update.