u1 2 uncertainty calibration route - yasufumi-nakata/mind-upload GitHub Wiki

Wiki: U1-2 uncertainty-calibration route packet

A next-watch inverse-estimation packet outside the current public six

This learning page is generated for GitHub Wiki. The public portal is managed on mind-upload.com.

Updated: 2026-03-31 / Role: U1-2 route packet

Role Of This Page

This page records one narrow next-watch route outside the current public six at the level of one question, one inverse-estimation anchor family, one bounded first artifact, and one funding bridge.

Accuracy Notes

This page does not change the active public six-question batch. It only records what the present U1-2 uncertainty-calibration route can honestly close first.

Back To Public Pages

Related Wiki Pages

Wiki: Current public six route brief - The compact six-row public route that still stays unchanged.
Wiki: U7-1 synchronization-contract route packet - The synchronization packet that now sits directly before this route.
Wiki: Deep focus notes - The wider working note for all current practical rows.
Wiki: Grant and dataset playbook - The fixed funding and anchor map.

U1-2 uncertainty-calibration route packet

This page does not change the current public six-question batch. It records one narrow route just outside that batch, so readers can see why U1-2 is the next strongest A-tier candidate after U7-1, why D08 stays the strongest inverse-estimation anchor for that route, and what the first public-safe artifact can honestly close.

What was rechecked for this row

D08 Simultaneous human intracerebral stimulation and HD-EEG, ground-truth for source localization methods still remains the strongest current ground-truth + intervention + inverse-validation floor for U1-2.
10.21227/7may-9q56 still resolves to the IEEE DataPort canonical page for D08. That page body still points readers to the public DOI route 10.25493/NXN2-05W, while the same IEEE surface also shows subscription/access UI. Public wording therefore keeps the emphasis on the uncertainty-calibration artifact rather than on a stronger access-class claim.
When the EEG-DATA catalog auto-label and the live access surface disagree, this packet follows the live DOI handoff plus the artifact value of ground-truth + intervention rather than the catalog label alone. The public-safe point here is still the uncertainty-calibration artifact, not a stronger access-class claim.
D11 A multi-session simultaneous EEG-fMRI dataset with online experience sampling remains a useful public-open support family for repeating perturbation checks under richer multi-session provenance.
D19 CerebellarTMSEEGData remains a useful public-open support family for perturbation-family cross-checks once the D08 ground-truth floor is fixed.
The current public six-question batch still stays unchanged: U13-2 / U13-5 / U0-2 / U0-3 / U14-4 / U14-2.
The practical funding bridge for this row is watch-only rather than a current public-six route: Brain Science Foundation research grant and Nakatani Foundation research grant remain the cleanest next-watch fits, and existing Todoist watch tasks already cover both lanes.

Why `U1-2` is the next strongest route after `U7-1`

It is an A row: the main claim can stay inside EEG-DATA without requiring theory, law, or identity-overreading language.
It is measurement-first: the first artifact is an uncertainty-calibration report, not a stronger recoverability or personhood claim.
It follows U7-1 naturally. U7-1 fixes synchronization and provenance discipline; U1-2 fixes whether inverse estimates keep their uncertainty bounds when conductivity, electrode loss, and noise are perturbed.

Why `D08` stays the main anchor

Candidate	What it helps with	Why it is not the first anchor
`D08 Simultaneous human intracerebral stimulation and HD-EEG, ground-truth for source localization methods` (`10.21227/7may-9q56`, with public DOI handoff `10.25493/NXN2-05W`)	It gives the cleanest current `ground-truth + intervention + source-localization` floor, which makes it the strongest first anchor for `interval coverage`, `error increment`, and `rank stability` under repeated perturbations.	None in this run. It is the strongest first anchor for `U1-2`.
`D11 A multi-session simultaneous EEG-fMRI dataset with online experience sampling` (`10.18112/openneuro.ds007216.v1.0.0`, immediate)	It is the strongest nearby support family for checking whether the same uncertainty rule survives richer session structure and provenance.	It is strong on synchronization and state logging, but it is not a direct ground-truth inverse-validation floor.
`D19 CerebellarTMSEEGData` (`10.6084/m9.figshare.13082495`, immediate)	It is useful for perturbation-family cross-checks once the first uncertainty packet is fixed on `D08`.	It is better as a TMS-EEG perturbation support family than as the first direct inverse-ground-truth anchor.

What the first artifact can honestly close now

Artifact piece	What it closes now	What still stays outside the claim
`Inverse problem reproduction report (error/uncertainty)`	A bounded report that locks `interval coverage`, `perturbation stability`, `error increment`, and `rank stability` under repeated conductivity, missing-electrode, and noise perturbations.	Any statement that one stable inverse route already proves full recoverability across all head models, subjects, or tasks.
`Coverage-stability table`	An explicit pass/fail table that shows where the uncertainty bounds still hold and where the row must be downgraded.	Any blanket solver-victory wording across untested model families.
`Downgrade-rule note`	A public-safe rule that forces the claim downward whenever repeated perturbations break coverage stability or flip the ranking across methods.	Any interpretation that inverse-estimate stability by itself proves preserved mechanism, preserved identity, or successful mind preservation.

Funding wording that still fits

Route	Submission wording that stays honest	Why it still fits this row
`Brain Science Foundation research grant` (`watch`)	`Perturbation-tested uncertainty calibration for inverse EEG estimates in the mind-upload verification route`	The row reads naturally as a conservative inverse-validation benchmark rather than a stronger restoration claim.
`Nakatani Foundation research grant` (`next-cycle watch`)	`Ground-truth inverse-uncertainty benchmark for reproducible EEG validation`	It fits as a BME-facing validation package, but only as a watch route because the current cycle is closed.

External dependency tasks that stay outside this session

Population-wide head-model identification and conductivity-prior agreement still remain outside the present repository-level artifact.
Community agreement on acceptable interval-coverage thresholds still remains outside the present packet.
Any interpretation that inverse-estimate stability proves preserved mechanism, preserved identity, or full recoverability remains outside the present route.

What changed in this run

The public batch did not change.
The main change is that U1-2 now has a public packet that records the strongest inverse-estimation anchor, the first artifact, and the watch-level funding bridge after U7-1.
This remains a route-setting update, not a solved-claim update.