Race Demographic Projections for 2060 - tompaine2016/demographics GitHub Wiki

The Census Bureau has just released a projection of the American population through 2060, and it makes grim reading. Whites will become a minority in 2042, and by 2060, will be just 43.6 percent of the population. The transition for children under age 18 will be much sooner: They will become a minority in 2020–in just five years–and in 2060 will be just 35 percent of all children in the country. A newborn white baby is already a minority in his age group.

Foreign-born vs domestic-born population

Percent of foreign-born population will rise from ~13.3% in 2014 to 18.8% in 2060, a 41% increase.

Projected Changes in Racial Demographics

Race 2014 2060 (Projected) Change
Non-Hispanic White * 62.2% 43.6% -18.6%
Black 13.2% 14.3% +1.1%
American Indian 1.2% 1.3% +0.1%
Asian 5.4% 9.3% +3.9%
Hispanic 17.4% 28.6% +11.2%
Black + Hispanic 30.6% 42.9% +12.3%
Race 2014 2060 (Projected) Change
Two or more 2.5% 6.2% +3.7%
  • Ashkenazi Jews are not treated as a separate racial group, and therefore are likely included in the Non-Hispanic White category. Assuming the approximately 6.4 million Jews in the US as of 2014 are in this category, Jewish Whites would have been approximately 2% and Non-Hispanic/Non-Jewish Whites would have been approximately 60.1% of the US population in 2014.

U.S Population Will Become Increasingly Diverse

Changing race/ethnicity of America's adolescents