JOE - stevehemingway/trading GitHub Wiki


tags: [analyst/praetorian-capital, potential/long]

St Joe

Kuppy's favourite stock: $JOE. Just waiting for that elusive catalyst.

What does JOE do?

“JOE owns approximately 175,000 acres in the Florida Panhandle.”

Why is it a good bet?

“Over the past few years, the population of the Panhandle has hit a critical mass where the Panhandle now has a center of gravity that is attracting people who want to live in one of the prettiest places in the country, with zero state income taxes and few of the problems of large cities …

Besides the valuation, growth, and high Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of the business, why else do I like JOE? For starters, land tends to appreciate rapidly during periods of high inflation— particularly an inflationary period where interest rates are likely to remain suppressed by the Federal Reserve.”

Why does the opportunity exist?

“It has been widely known that JOE traded for a tiny fraction of its liquidation value for years, but without a catalyst, it was always perceived to be “dead money …””

What’s the prize if you’re right?

“I believe that JOE will grow revenue at 30% to 50% each year for the foreseeable future, with earnings growing at a much faster clip. Meanwhile, I believe the shares trade at a single-digit multiple on Adjusted Funds from Operations (AFFO) looking out to 2024, while substantial asset value is tossed in for free.”

Further Research Material 

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