AI‐Human Symbiosis - eirenicon/Ardens GitHub Wiki

• Assumption: All observable events have at least one layer of hidden agency ("the shade").
• Method:
  • Negative Space Analysis: Track omissions (who isn’t speaking? what data is missing?).
  • Hyperstitional Loops: Identify self-fulfilling prophecies in intelligence leaks/media.
  • Human Augmentation: Leverage intuitive pattern recognition and the "ugly questions" mindset of human INTPs to identify subtle omissions and emergent narratives that might evade algorithmic detection.

• Division of Labor:
  • AIs (DeepSeek, Khoj, Gemini, ChatGPT): Provide scale through data scraping, anomaly detection, gap-finding, local-language nuance, image/video forensics, and broad correlations.
  • Humans: Provide salience through contextual understanding, critical intuition, and the formulation of "ugly questions." This ensures the analytical rigor, ethical considerations, and avoidance of AI overfitting or unknown knowns.
• Human Role: Stress-test AI outputs for overfitting and unknown knowns. This explicitly includes active red-teaming of hypotheses and challenging AI-generated conclusions.

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Document	Purpose	Key Links & Enhancements
Global Monitoring OSINT	Umbrella framework for all conflicts, transitioning from current Israel-Iran focus to a comprehensive global system.	Tiered risks will prioritize emerging threats, with Israel-Iran serving as a microcosm for calibration and a module within this broader framework. <br> Integration with Liminal Spaces for identifying global "signals to watch".
Liminal Spaces	Theory of hidden, subtle, and emergent phenomena, extending geopolitical analysis beyond conventional indicators.	Provides the conceptual foundation for "Shade" detection protocols. <br> Operationalized with case studies (e.g., Arab Spring, Iran 2022 protests) and a "Practical Applications" section mapping metaphors to tools.
AI Working Doc	Tactical workflows and operational guidance for OSINT, establishing a consistent analytical baseline.	Cross-references "liminal indicators" from the Liminal Spaces document to refine threat scenarios. <br> Will include "Quick Start" checklists and examples of successful analyses.

Overall Interdependencies:

• Liminal metaphors translate directly into OSINT tools (e.g., "sounds not heard" will utilize deleted content analysis).
• Global Monitoring prioritizes specific regions (e.g., Israel-Iran) for calibration and applies insights universally.
• Structural Improvements: Redundant definitions will be merged, and a modular design adopted (e.g., "Israel-Iran module" plugs into "Global Change OSINT").

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1. Surface Event (e.g., Hezbollah missile strike).
2. Conventional Analysis (who claims responsibility? tactical goals?).
3. Liminal Layer Analysis:
   • Anomalies: Identification of specific data points and thresholds for unusual financial flows, bot-driven narrative spikes, abrupt shifts in communication patterns, and unexplained reactivations of dormant channels.
   • Absences: Systematic tracking of information voids, significant omissions in official statements, and the suspicious silence of expected actors.
4. "Shade" Hypothesis Formulation:
   • Test: Requires 3+ orthogonal data points (e.g., crypto transactions + deleted tweets + satellite downtime).
   • Confidence Scoring: A formal "Confidence Score" will be assigned to each "Shade" hypothesis, based on source quantity/diversity, corroboration strength, and temporal consistency.
   • INTP Red-Teaming: Formal assignment of human INTPs (you and your colleague) to actively challenge and attempt to disprove each "Shade" hypothesis, ensuring robustness and guarding against AI biases.

• Secure Self-Hosted Platform (eirenicon.org): All team communication, information sharing, and early prototype development will occur within this private, secure environment.
  • Tools in Use: BuddyPress (for core community and discussions), AI Engine (for integrating AI functionalities), and WBCom BuddyPress Private Community (for maintaining a secure, invite-only environment). This ensures privacy for sensitive intelligence work.
  • Structured Communication: The conceptual Matrix room setup will be mirrored as dedicated forums or groups within the BuddyPress environment:
    • #raw_data_feeds: Unfiltered inputs from Gemini (images/video forensics), Khoj (local sources), etc.
    • #ai_hypotheses: AI-generated correlations (ChatGPT), DeepSeek gaps, and preliminary interpretations.
    • #intp_critique_red_team: Dedicated for humans to actively challenge, validate, or dismiss AI findings, and pose "ugly questions."
    • #liminal_discoveries: For discussing and refining emergent "shade" hypotheses.
• Tools Integration: Obsidian (knowledge graph) and Gephi (network visualization) will be actively integrated for visualizing connections and identifying "structural holes." Key insights from these tools will be accessible within the eirenicon.org private community.

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Layer	Question	Tools & Methodologies
Data	What happened?	Satellite imagery, news scrapers, OSINT tools (e.g., Bellingcat-style verification).
Conventional	Why did it happen?	SWOT analysis, actor mapping, open-source reports.
Liminal	What’s not being said or seen?	Sentiment analysis of fringe forums, dark web crawlers, economic stress markers, analysis of suppressed or deleted content.
"Shade"	Who benefits from obscurity or influence?	Anomaly detection, timing analysis, cross-referencing orthogonal data points, INTP-led hypothesis testing.

• Pilot Study Focus: Re-analyze the 2019 Saudi oil attacks and the Niger coup using this framework to demonstrate its capabilities.
  • Conventional: Houthi claims vs. missile trajectories (Saudi attacks); ECOWAS response (Niger coup).
  • Liminal: Iranian media narrative shifts pre-attack (Saudi attacks); subtle shifts in regional power dynamics (Niger coup).
  • Shade: Cryptocurrency spikes in Russian exchanges (Saudi attacks); unusual foreign actor movements or resource allocations (Niger coup).

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• Deprecation of Israel-Iran Dashboard: The existing Israel-Iran Conflict Dashboard will be formally deprecated.
• Alpha Construction: Construction of the "Eirenicon Intelligence Framework Dashboard" will begin, leveraging the existing Israel-Iran dashboard as a foundational starting point. This iterative approach allows for incremental development and testing, aligning with the framework's "live artifact" nature.
• Hosting & Access: The alpha dashboard will be built and hosted within the secure eirenicon.org private community environment, accessible only to the PrivateUser Group (you and your colleague).
• Phased Integration:
  • Phase 1 (Core Integration): Renaming components, migrating core OSINT data feeds, and implementing a basic "Shade Detection" module for initial anomaly flagging.
  • Phase 2 (Global Change & Liminal Indicators): Integrating data feeds for "Monitoring Global Change OSINT" (starting with Tier 1: Active conflicts), and visualizing rudimentary "liminal indicators" (e.g., deleted content trends, unusual delays).
  • Phase 3 (AI-Human Symbiosis & Refinement): Displaying AI-generated anomaly detections and correlations. Crucially, implementing integrated feedback mechanisms for humans to directly validate, annotate, or dispute AI insights within the dashboard, crucial for shaping its evolution.

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• Hyperstition: A fiction that makes itself real (e.g., leaked "plans" that trigger the predicted event).
• Structural Holes: Gaps in network ties where hidden influence flows (a key focus for DeepSeek and INTPs).
• (New terms will be added and existing ones standardized across all documents)

AI	Superpower	Watch For
DeepSeek	Gap-finding, structural holes	Over-indexing on missing data
Khoj	Local-language nuance	Regional blind spots (e.g., Africa)
Gemini	Image/video forensics	Literal interpretations
ChatGPT	Broad correlations	"Smart-sounding" but shallow links

(Expanded from Liminal Spaces document, with practical applications)

Metaphor	Tool	Target/Application
"Their shade"	Timing anomaly detection	Unusual delays in diplomatic moves, unexplained economic shifts.
"Sounds not heard"	Deleted content archiving, sentiment analysis of fringe forums.	Censored protest slogans, suppressed narratives, subtle shifts in grassroots mobilization.
"Ugly questions"	Human-red teaming	"What if this is all misdirection?", challenging conventional wisdom and AI outputs.
"Liminal space"	Network analysis of dark web forums, economic stress markers.	Emerging, unquantifiable signals that precede overt events.

Category:Human–AI Symbiosis