Introductory Resources on Forecast Verification - NOAA-OWP/wres GitHub Wiki
Name (and link, where possible) | Type | Description |
Ian T. Jolliffe and D. B. Stephenson, Eds., Forecast Verification: A Practitioner’s Guide in Atmospheric Science, Second Edition. 2012. | Book (edited collection) | Contains several chapters that describe verification metrics for different types of predictand. Aimed at operational forecasters, graduate students and researchers. The early chapters provide a good introduction, but many of the chapters assume a reasonable understanding of probability theory. |
WWRP/WGNE Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research, Forecast Verification: Issues, Method and FAQ. 2015: http://www.cawcr.gov.au/projects/verification/ |
Public website | An excellent introduction to verification, which includes a comprehensive description of verification metrics for different types of forecasts. Includes contributions from numerous verification experts and answers to FAQs: http://www.cawcr.gov.au/projects/verification/#FAQs |
Forecast verification training module hosted by EUMETRAIN, an international training project sponsored by EUMETSAT: http://www.eumetrain.org/data/4/451/english/courses/msgcrs/index.htm | Online training course | An excellent, non-technical, introduction to forecast verification, which contains three completed modules: 1) introduction; 2) verification of continuous variables; and 3) verification of categorical forecasts. A module on verification of probability forecasts remains in production. |
Glossary of verification terms, hosted by the Space Weather Prediction Center: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/sites/default/files/images/u30/Forecast%20Verification%20Glossary.pdf | Glossary | Excellent list of common terminology, verification scores, definitions, and equations. |
Forecast verification training module from COMET/MetEd: https://www.meted.ucar.edu/training_module.php?id=453 | Online Training Course | A good introduction to techniques in hydrologic forecast verification and an overview of the verification software used by the U.S. National Weather Service Hydrology Program circa 2010. |