meeting 2023 06 13 - JacobPilawa/TriaxSchwarzschild_wiki_5 GitHub Wiki

06/13

Summary Plots

First, here's an example plot showing the results for P1 in a bit more detail -- this shows the recoveries for r1 through r5 plotted as the posterior in BHxML space. The recovered best fits and 1-sigma values are plotted above the posteriors. The red points show all models within sqrt(2*Nkin) of the minimum chi2 associated with this P. The red point and errorbar represent the "error" if we went the sqrt(2*Nkin) route for our uncertainties.
Plot
images/230613/test_P1.png
Result for each P
P1 P2 P3 P4 P5
images/230613/test_P1.png images/230613/test_P2.png images/230613/test_P3.png images/230613/test_P4.png images/230613/test_P5.png
Here is the plot Emily made last time but also split into each parameter/split into the different P's -- just as a reminder, these plots are showing essentially a "CDF"-like quantity starting at the 50th percentile symmetrically outward insted of the 0th
Plot from Last time
images/230613/full.png
  • Split by parameter
BH ML MDM T Tmaj Tmin
images/230613/full_bh.png images/230613/full_ml.png images/230613/full_mdm.png images/230613/full_t.png images/230613/full_tmaj.png images/230613/full_tmin.png
  • Split by P and Parameter
Plot
BH images/230613/full_bh_P5.png
ML images/230613/full_ml_P5.png
MDM images/230613/full_mdm_P5.png
T images/230613/full_t_P5.png
TMAJ images/230613/full_tmaj_P5.png
TMIN images/230613/full_tmin_P5.png
I slightly modified her script for these plots, which I think are more or less what we discussed last time -- these are essentially plotting the CDF of the posteriors vs. the "empirical" CDF from our recovered values. Basically I start at the 0th percentile of each parameter/realization, and incrememnts toward the 100th percentile, keeping track of the fraction of models less than a given percentile. In the ideal case this is 1-to-1.
Plot from Last time
images/230613/test_cdf.png
  • Split by parameters
BH ML MDM T Tmaj Tmin
images/230613/test_cdf_bh.png images/230613/test_cdf_ml.png images/230613/test_cdf_mdm.png images/230613/test_cdf_t.png images/230613/test_cdf_tmaj.png images/230613/test_cdf_tmin.png
  • Split by P and Parameter
Plot
BH images/230613/CDF_bh_broken_by_P.png
ML images/230613/CDF_ml_broken_by_P.png
MDM images/230613/CDF_mdm_broken_by_P.png
T images/230613/CDF_t_broken_by_P.png
TMAJ images/230613/CDF_tmaj_broken_by_P.png
TMIN images/230613/CDF_tmin_broken_by_P.png

Diagnostics of Nearby Model Points

  • Last time, I had a few plots showing the results of our models in nearby chi2; we wanted instead to see some models in nearby parameter spaces (which admittedly are a bit difficult to find). Here are some of those diagnostics for P1 for example:
P1 Example
Case 1 Case 2 Case 3
GMOS Moments 1
GMOS Moments 2
GMOS Moments 3
Mitchell Moments 1
Mitchell Moments 2
Mitchell Moments 3
Beta Profiles
Weights (colored by I2, final type)
Weights (colored by I3, final type)
Weights (colored by I2, initial type)
Weights (colored by I3, initial type)
Long Weights (colored by I2)
Intermediate Weights (colored by I2)
Short Weights (colored by I2)
Box Weights (colored by I2)
Long Weights (colored by I3)
Intermediate Weights (colored by I3)
Short Weights (colored by I3)
Box Weights (colored by I3)
Orbit Classifications
Regular Weights
Box Weights
Retrograde Weights
Regular Weights Summed over Energies
Box Weights Summed over Energies
Retrograde Weights Summed over Energies

Axisymmetric Work

We wanted to explore the axisymmetric recovery with meff a bit more to see if we can find a specific w to mulitply our meff surface which would recover our true inclination. I went ahead and tried our GPR + dynesty routine with a host of weights w.
  • r1
w 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8
P1 i~85 images/230613/230614_P1_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8-1.png
P2 i~70 images/230613/230614_P2_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8-1.png
P3 i~60 images/230613/230614_P3_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8-1.png
  • r2
w 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8
P1 i~85 images/230613/230614_P1_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8-1.png
P2 i~70 images/230613/230614_P2_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8-1.png
P3 i~60 images/230613/230614_P3_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8-1.png
  • r3
w 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8
P1 i~85 images/230613/230614_P1_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8-1.png
P2 i~70 images/230613/230614_P2_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8-1.png
P3 i~60 images/230613/230614_P3_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8-1.png
  • r4
w 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8
P1 i~85 images/230613/230614_P1_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7-1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8-1.png
P2 i~70 images/230613/230614_P2_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7-1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8-1.png
P3 i~60 images/230613/230614_P3_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7-1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8-1.png
  • r5: Running
For reference, here are the corresponding 1d panels for the cases above to see how successive w's change the landscape:
  • r1
w 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8
P1 i~85 images/230613/230614_P1_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2.png images/230613/230614_P1_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3.png images/230613/230614_P1_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4.png images/230613/230614_P1_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6.png images/230613/230614_P1_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7.png images/230613/230614_P1_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8.png
P2 i~70 images/230613/230614_P2_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2.png images/230613/230614_P2_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3.png images/230613/230614_P2_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4.png images/230613/230614_P2_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6.png images/230613/230614_P2_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7.png images/230613/230614_P2_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8.png
P3 i~60 images/230613/230614_P3_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2.png images/230613/230614_P3_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3.png images/230613/230614_P3_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4.png images/230613/230614_P3_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6.png images/230613/230614_P3_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7.png images/230613/230614_P3_r1_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8.png
  • r2
w 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8
P1 i~85 images/230613/230614_P1_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2.png images/230613/230614_P1_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3.png images/230613/230614_P1_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4.png images/230613/230614_P1_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6.png images/230613/230614_P1_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7.png images/230613/230614_P1_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8.png
P2 i~70 images/230613/230614_P2_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2.png images/230613/230614_P2_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3.png images/230613/230614_P2_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4.png images/230613/230614_P2_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6.png images/230613/230614_P2_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7.png images/230613/230614_P2_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8.png
P3 i~60 images/230613/230614_P3_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2.png images/230613/230614_P3_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3.png images/230613/230614_P3_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4.png images/230613/230614_P3_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6.png images/230613/230614_P3_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7.png images/230613/230614_P3_r2_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8.png
  • r3
w 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8
P1 i~85 images/230613/230614_P1_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2.png images/230613/230614_P1_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3.png images/230613/230614_P1_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4.png images/230613/230614_P1_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6.png images/230613/230614_P1_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7.png images/230613/230614_P1_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8.png
P2 i~70 images/230613/230614_P2_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2.png images/230613/230614_P2_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3.png images/230613/230614_P2_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4.png images/230613/230614_P2_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6.png images/230613/230614_P2_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7.png images/230613/230614_P2_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8.png
P3 i~60 images/230613/230614_P3_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2.png images/230613/230614_P3_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3.png images/230613/230614_P3_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4.png images/230613/230614_P3_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6.png images/230613/230614_P3_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7.png images/230613/230614_P3_r3_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8.png
  • r4
w 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8
P1 i~85 images/230613/230614_P1_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2.png images/230613/230614_P1_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3.png images/230613/230614_P1_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4.png images/230613/230614_P1_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6.png images/230613/230614_P1_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7.png images/230613/230614_P1_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8.png
P2 i~70 images/230613/230614_P2_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2.png images/230613/230614_P2_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3.png images/230613/230614_P2_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4.png images/230613/230614_P2_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6.png images/230613/230614_P2_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7.png images/230613/230614_P2_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8.png
P3 i~60 images/230613/230614_P3_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2.png images/230613/230614_P3_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3.png images/230613/230614_P3_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4.png images/230613/230614_P3_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6.png images/230613/230614_P3_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.7.png images/230613/230614_P3_r4_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.8.png
  • r5
w 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8
P1 i~85 images/230613/230614_P1_r5_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1.png images/230613/230614_P1_r5_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2.png images/230613/230614_P1_r5_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3.png images/230613/230614_P1_r5_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4.png images/230613/230614_P1_r5_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6.png
P2 i~70 images/230613/230614_P2_r5_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1.png images/230613/230614_P2_r5_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2.png images/230613/230614_P2_r5_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3.png images/230613/230614_P2_r5_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4.png images/230613/230614_P2_r5_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.6.png
P3 i~60 images/230613/230614_P3_r5_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1.png images/230613/230614_P3_r5_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.2.png images/230613/230614_P3_r5_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.3.png images/230613/230614_P3_r5_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.4.png images/230613/230614_P1_r5_chi2_meff_spyder_K60_w1.1.png
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